The coolest presentation I heard at AlwaysOn this morning is Schoendorf from Accel Partners on the Global Shift:
Everything is changing. Globalization will drive the next forty years. Change is increasing at an increasing rate.
To have a prepared mind, you have to know that shift happens, and happens exponentially.
In 1966, Intel wasn’t founded, HP was not in the computer business. In the 80s, the big companies were IBM, DEC, and HP. DEC is gone. HP was not in the computer business. IBM was. IBM and HP have re-invented themselves.
One in 4 workers have been in a job less than a year, one in two are in their jobs less than five years. Today’s college grad will have 10-14 jobs by the age of 38. That changes the relationship between employer and employee.
1 in 8 couples who were married in 2006 met online.
The Number 1 English speaking nation in the world is CHINA.
During this talk, 182 babies will be born in the US, 575 on China, 971 in India, minus 114 in Russia.
Russia is losing 1m people a year to early death and low birth rates.
It took 2 decades to sell the first billion mobile phones, 1400 days to sell the second billion, and under 1000 days to sell the third billion. Rate of growth in China and Africa is enormous. There are more mobile phones in China than there are people living in Europe.
65 milion active sites on the web, increasing by 50k a day.
The number of text messages sent every day is now more than the global population.
What is a Peta, Exa, Zeta, Yotta? These are the next terms we will use for information to replace Kilo, Mega, Giga, and Tera. The amount of technical info doubles every 24 months and is tracking to double every twelve months. What does that mean to an educator?
We have to train students for jobs that don’t exist using technologies that haven’t been invented. Engineering educations are outdated by the day of graduation.
People under 25 no longer use email, because they use Facebook and IM.
Everything is global. Perhaps companies should start up as global. At the World Economic Forum this year, that was discussed. The jury is still out.
Private currencies will replace national currencies. Economic domains will replace nation states.
This is shocking information. But I have felt for a long time that we were at the last gasp of nation states.
{ 3 comments… read them below or add one }
It makes me wonder how much longer until *we* are no longer human. I’ve been reading up on EPO and blood doping lately b/c of the scandal with this year’s Tour de France. Pretty soon, we won’t be able to tell if an athlete has modified his/her body in order to win a competition. Soon races won’t be about the racers, but about the bio-engineers who made them.
Good thing you didn’t heard the Virtual Web panel this morning :-)
“People under 25 no longer use email, because they use Facebook and IM.”
lol… where did that come from? It’s patently ridiculous to imply that there are absolutely no people under 25 who still use email.
“Everything is global. Perhaps companies should start up as global”
Again, kinda silly. The only way any company could ‘start up as global’ would be to have access to large quantities of capital, and with no guarantee that the company would remain solvent and profitable for any period of time whatever, you’re asking for a lot of faith on behalf of the investors. The current model works pretty well; businesses start small, and if they are successful enough, they expand.